AI is going into debt, gold exists: what tech’s black week says about the two assets

L'IA s'endette, l'or existe : ce que la semaine noire de la tech dit des deux actifs

The week of 19 to 23 October 2026 raised a question deeper than a simple fall in technology stocks: who is paying for the artificial intelligence race, and with what kind of capital? Meta’s quarter provided a textbook case. Its revenue rose by 26%, to $64.6 billion, while its capital expenditure exceeded the cash flow generated by its operations. The group also prepared a new class of non-voting shares to preserve its financing capacity.

The same market then punished the companies building that promise: data centres, processors, networks and energy. Gold, for its part, was sold off in the move, because it is liquid and can be mobilised quickly when margin calls arrive. The contrast pits two architectures of value against each other: one must convert present investment into future cash flows, the other depends on no issuer to exist.

The signal is not a stock market fall, it is a bill

The market has not just discovered that artificial intelligence is expensive. It has shifted its attention from the narrative to the bill. As long as spending remains absorbed by abundant cash and rapid growth, investors focus mainly on the size of the hoped-for market. When infrastructure spending exceeds the liquidity produced by operations, one question becomes unavoidable: how long must the financing continue before AI-related revenue takes over?

The session of Thursday 22 October made this mechanism visible within hours. The Nasdaq lost 2.6%, its worst session since June. Meta fell by around 7%, Lam Research by 11.8%, Tesla by 3.1% and CoreWeave by 10.1%. These movements are not proof that every business is doomed. They show that the same financial chain now links the advertising platform, the equipment maker, the carmaker investing in autonomy and the provider of computing capacity. When the cost of capital becomes the subject, growth alone is no longer enough to reassure shareholders.

Meta: growth alone no longer pays for the AI race

Meta’s quarterly revenue rose by 26%, but its capital expenditure reached $34.91 billion, against $32.79 billion in operating cash flow. Free cash flow thus turned negative, at minus $2.12 billion. Meta indicates that its capital expenditure for 2026 should be between $135 and $145 billion, with the floor raised from $130 to $135 billion. Commercial growth is therefore real. It is simply no longer enough, this quarter, to pay for all the construction required for the next stage.

Historical data show that this move below zero had not been seen since the second quarter of 2012, the year of Facebook’s stock market flotation. Meta is not without resources, but AI is transforming the hierarchy of cash uses: share buybacks now come after infrastructure spending, while debt or equity become possible fallbacks. The issue is therefore not the disappearance of revenue. It is the growing share of spending required to stay in the race.

Credit becomes the hidden variable of artificial intelligence

Debt does not sit in the same place for every player. Meta has a mature advertising business and resources that give it greater leeway. CoreWeave, by contrast, illustrates the most stretched part of the chain. This company rents out computing power based on Nvidia processors. It must finance the chips, the data centres and the energy before collecting revenue from contracts that stretch over time. Reuters put its debt at around $50 billion and recalled that the company had never yet posted a profit. The stock has also suffered negative analyst revisions, with price targets cut by Bernstein and then Morgan Stanley.

This case does not sum up all of AI, but it reveals the logic of the sector. Unused computing capacity does not produce the expected cash flow, while interest and lease contracts continue to run. Hardware can also lose value when a new generation of processors arrives. Estimates cited by Reuters exceed $700 billion for the AI infrastructure of major American groups in 2026. This sum can support lasting innovation, but it makes every delay in monetisation more costly. The market is asking whether demand will arrive fast enough to deliver a return on the capital committed.

The new share class finances the future at the price of possible dilution

Meta’s decision on its capital structure was read as a sign of this tension. The board approved the creation of a class C of non-voting ordinary shares. Meta explains that this category is intended to give it additional capacity to raise funds, to pay certain employees, to finance possible acquisitions and to support its growth during the AI-related transformation. A distinction must however be drawn between creating the mechanism and an immediate fundraising. The company also announced a special dividend of class C shares, conditional on the new structure taking effect. This operation does not, in itself, constitute an injection of liquidity.

The financial point lies elsewhere. If Meta then issues shares for cash, the economic stake of existing shareholders may be diluted. If the group borrows, it retains economic ownership but adds interest and maturities. Debt and equity therefore shift the risk towards different parties: the ability to repay for the creditor, the ability to create more value per share for the shareholder. The market punished the uncertainty over this equation, not the mere existence of an AI project.

Gold was sold as a liquidity reserve

The contrast with gold appears precisely when the market tightens. A physically held bar has no board of directors, no spending plan, no debt to refinance and no future cash flow to promise. Its market value can fall, its safekeeping has a cost and its sale depends on an available price. But the metal itself does not need a fundraising to continue existing. This distinction does not turn gold into a risk-free asset. It separates a tangible asset without an issuer from a share that represents an economic claim on a company’s future profits.

On Thursday, gold fell by around 2.8% while technology stocks tumbled. On Friday 23 October, spot gold passed below $4,000 an ounce for the first time since mid-July, with a low close to $3,986.50. Reuters linked part of this pressure to margin calls triggered by the fall in technology stocks, which pushed some investors to sell precious assets to obtain liquidity. The reading deserves precision: this movement describes a financing constraint among certain holders, not a debt carried by the metal.

The level observed on Friday also corrects an often-repeated approximation. Compared with the intraday record of $5,589.38 touched on 28 January 2026, the low of $3,986.50 represents a fall of around 29%, not 26%. The metal therefore remains volatile. Yet its decline during a stress session does not produce the same type of question as that facing a heavily indebted company: no one expects gold to turn present spending into future revenue.

Two assets, two promises of time

An AI share concentrates a promise of growth, infrastructure to be built and an obligation to convince lenders or shareholders that revenue will follow. Gold concentrates a scarce material, a price history and market liquidity, without distributing profits or repaying debt. Comparing the two is therefore not about seeking a weekly winner. It is about observing what each asset demands of its holder. The share requires accepting execution, financing and the risk of dilution. The metal requires accepting the absence of current yield, storage and price fluctuation. Gold does not promise. It exists.

At Gold & Silver Company, we observe that the useful questions begin with a simple distinction: do you own a company that must finance its trajectory, or a material that you can identify, hold and sell without waiting for the success of an industrial plan? This distinction cancels neither the risks of gold nor the value of innovation. It explains why a week of forced selling can affect both assets without making them equivalent. The difference between financial exposure and held metal appears in the analysis of gold’s two prices and in the difference between paper gold and physical metal.

Frequently asked questions about AI debt and tangible gold

Why does Meta’s revenue growth not reassure me more?

Rising revenue indicates that the commercial business is progressing. It does not say how much remains after the spending required for growth. In the third quarter of 2026, Meta generated $64.6 billion in revenue, but its capital expenditure exceeded its operating cash flow, which pushed its free cash flow into negative territory. The market therefore looked at the conversion of revenue into liquidity rather than the pace of growth alone. As long as artificial intelligence requires additional data centres and processors, the question concerns the cost and timing of that infrastructure, not only the quarter’s sales.

Does Meta’s new non-voting share already dilute my holding?

No, not automatically. Meta announced the creation of a non-voting class C and a special dividend of class C shares, subject to the new structure being put in place. The company states that this category must also give it the possibility of raising funds in the future. The initial distribution mainly organises the capital structure and does not constitute an immediate inflow of liquidity. Economic dilution could appear if additional shares were subsequently sold in exchange for financing. A distinction must therefore be drawn between creating a category, distributing it to shareholders and a possible issue intended to finance spending.

Why can gold fall when I am looking for protection?

Listed gold is a liquid asset. When an investor financed by borrowing must meet a margin call, they can sell whatever trades quickly, even if that asset was held as protection. Reuters reported that the fall in technology stocks had triggered margin calls and sales of gold and silver this week. This liquidity mechanism is different from a challenge to the physical existence of the metal. It also explains why gold does not protect every portfolio in every session. A position without leverage, held directly, does not remove price volatility, but it does not add debt to the metal.

Is tangible gold risk-free because I hold it without debt?

No. Physical gold does not carry an issuer’s debt, but its price fluctuates and its safekeeping requires rules of security, traceability and liquidity. It pays no periodic income. A sale can also take place at an unfavourable moment, particularly if the holder needs liquidity quickly. The structural difference lies elsewhere: the metal does not depend on an investment plan that must generate future profits to repay creditors. The absence of debt reduces one type of risk; it removes neither market risk nor the costs associated with ownership.

How should I compare an AI share with the gold I hold?

You must start by identifying the source of value. For an AI share, you examine revenue, capital expenditure, cash flow, debt, possible dilution and the ability to monetise infrastructure. For gold, you examine the fineness, the weight, the form of ownership, the safekeeping, the liquidity conditions and the gap between price and metal value. Both assets can be liquid, but they do not rest on the same mechanism. One represents a stake in an activity that must be financed. The other represents a material whose market value varies.